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Forex multi-account manager Z-X-N
Accepts global forex account operation, investment, and trading
Assists family office investment and autonomous management

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In the two-way trading field of the foreign exchange market, for successful traders who have achieved stable profits, actively avoiding meaningless communication is not a deliberate act of alienation, but rather a rational consideration based on differences in market understanding and the costs of interaction.

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Behind this choice lies a deep-seated contradiction caused by the "misalignment of understanding between insiders and outsiders," and this contradiction often puts insiders, who are in a more passive and "internally injured" situation. From a cognitive perspective, successful traders' core understanding is built upon a deep deconstruction of the market's underlying logic, including the correlation between macroeconomic cycles and currency trends, the impact of capital flows on price fluctuations, and the dynamic balance of risk-reward ratios. Their trading decisions revolve around these professional logics. In contrast, lay traders (or those with basic understanding) often only grasp the superficial phenomenon of "price fluctuations," lacking an understanding of the professional logic. They may even equate trading profits simply with "luck" or "accurate predictions." This significant cognitive gap makes effective communication and resonance between the two groups difficult.
More importantly, the "ignorance is bliss" mentality formed by lay traders due to their limited understanding often further exacerbates conflicts with experts. Laypeople, lacking an understanding of market complexities, fail to recognize the bias or error in their own views. Instead, due to the "information cocoon" effect, they firmly believe their judgments are correct, feeling neither ashamed of their cognitive blind spots nor trusting the professional advice of laypeople. Conversely, when experts attempt to convey professional logic, if it contradicts the laypeople's preconceived notions, they may face skepticism or even humiliation. For example, a successful trader might emphasize that "long-term trends are more important than short-term fluctuations," while a layperson might retort with "I made money on short-term trades yesterday"; an expert might remind them that "risk control is the core of trading," while a layperson might ridicule them for being too conservative and unable to make big money. In this scenario, the "internal injury" felt by experts doesn't stem from the rejection of their views, but from the lack of recognition of their professional value, or even being misinterpreted as "stupid" or "ridiculous." More realistically, the foreign exchange market has a very high percentage of laypeople lacking professional knowledge. This collective cognitive bias further amplifies the rejection of professional logic, trapping experts in a "minority versus majority" dilemma, ultimately forcing them to remain silent to avoid unnecessary losses.
In fact, the phenomenon of "outsiders seeing insiders as jokes," while seemingly counterintuitive, is common knowledge in the forex trading field and indeed in all professional fields—its essence is the result of the combined effects of "cognitive barriers" and "group proportions." The formation of professional knowledge requires long-term learning, practice, and reflection. This process filters out most participants who lack patience or ability, resulting in truly knowledgeable insiders always being a minority. Meanwhile, outsiders, not needing to cross professional barriers, occupy an absolute numerical advantage, and their collective cognition naturally becomes the "mainstream voice." When the professional views of a few insiders conflict with this "mainstream voice," they are easily labeled as "outliers" or "ridiculous." Successful traders deeply understand the inevitability of this cognitive conflict and are well aware that the cost of trying to change laypeople's perceptions far outweighs the benefits. Therefore, they choose to actively avoid communication, which is essentially a protection of their professional value and a rational allocation of their energy—rather than wasting time on meaningless cognitive battles, they invest their time in more valuable tasks such as market research and strategy optimization. This is both the survival wisdom of successful traders and a realistic response to the "contradiction between professional and laypeople's perceptions."

In the two-way trading field of forex investment, if forex traders are of mediocre skill, then they often don't need to communicate with each other because their cognitive values ​​are not equal.

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When numerous forex traders gather to exchange ideas, while the amount of information becomes abundant and complex, truly valuable viewpoints that can help those seeking different answers are few and far between.
However, the forex market itself is the best teacher, and consistent profitability is the most crucial path to enlightenment. Due to the large number of participants and the complexity of forex trading, truly skilled forex traders rarely actively engage in communication with other traders, nor is it necessary for them to. After all, profitable forex traders typically don't engage in in-depth discussions with those who aren't making money; even if they do, it's mostly for polite purposes. This is because only those forex traders who haven't yet achieved profitability actively seek out trading forums or participate in offline exchanges, attempting to find methods and pathways to success.
Of course, mediocre traders who continuously learn and accumulate knowledge, common sense, experience, techniques, and psychological common sense related to forex investment, gradually increasing their own value, might choose to communicate with others only when they become valuable enough. However, the reality is often that when a person truly possesses sufficient value, they lose the desire to communicate and share. This is undoubtedly a paradox, but an undeniable fact. Novice traders crave communication, but often find no one listening; while when they grow into experienced veterans, they are no longer willing to actively communicate.

In the two-way trading system of the forex market, short-term trading is one of the modes that demands the highest comprehensive ability from traders, especially testing the accuracy of their trading techniques and the stability of their mindset.

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The core of short-term trading lies in capturing tiny opportunities in short-term price fluctuations of currency pairs. This requires traders to possess not only extreme market sensitivity, rapid market judgment, and precise control over entry and exit points, but also the ability to maintain a stable mindset in a rapidly changing price environment. However, in reality, short-term price fluctuations are often directly linked to the immediate increase or decrease in account funds. This strong correlation constantly triggers emotional fluctuations in traders. Whether it's greed when facing small profits or fear when facing minor losses, both can interfere with the strict execution of the trading system.
This emotional interference is fatal to the trading system: a previously validated strategy may be arbitrarily modified due to momentary emotional impulses, such as prematurely taking profits and missing potential gains, or delaying stop-loss orders and amplifying losses, ultimately making it difficult for short-term trading to form a sustainable profit loop. In stark contrast, traders using a long-term trading model are more likely to maintain a calm mindset. Because their holding periods cover weeks, months, or even longer, they don't need to closely monitor short-term price fluctuations. They have ample time to observe market trends and reflect on the effectiveness of their trading system. During long-term holding, traders can more clearly recognize that the core logic of profitability does not rely on short-term price differences, but rather on grasping the major trends driven by core factors such as macroeconomic cycles and monetary policy. Only by seizing these sustainable and directional major trends can one break through the limitations of short-term fluctuations and obtain substantial profit potential.
From the perspective of capital suitability and profit scale, the differences between short-term and long-term trading are significant, a fact widely acknowledged in the market. Short-term trading's profit logic is based on high-frequency, small-amount price differences, making it inherently difficult to accommodate large funds. On one hand, large capital inflows may trigger short-term market volatility, leading to increased transaction costs or the inability to complete position building and closing at expected levels. On the other hand, the profit potential of short-term trading is inherently limited; even if successful, it only yields small, incremental gains, failing to achieve a snowballing profit growth through continuous compounding. Long-term trading, however, is entirely different. It relies on a major trend that provides ample space and time to accommodate large funds. Furthermore, as the trend continues, traders can use a "floating profit averaging" strategy to gradually increase their positions while maintaining controllable risk, allowing profits to amplify with the trend's development. This is the core advantage of long-term trading in terms of capital utilization and profit scale.
A trader's mindset often determines their trading habits and profit ceiling, an influence particularly evident in capital management. If a trader remains fixated on short-term trading, their focus will always be limited to small opportunities arising from short-term price fluctuations. Their trading methods and technical systems will be built around "making small profits"—even if they suddenly acquire a large sum of money, they will struggle to operate effectively because they lack understanding of large-capital management and trend analysis. They cannot identify suitable trend opportunities for large-capital entry, nor do they possess the ability to rationally allocate and control the risk of large capital positions. Ultimately, they will remain trapped in a cycle of "frequent trading, small profits."
Conversely, if a trader establishes a cognitive framework that "short-term price fluctuations are unpredictable, while long-term trends can be judged through macroeconomic logic," even without immediate large-scale profits due to a lack of substantial capital, their long-term thinking and strategic perspective lay a core foundation for future control of large sums of money. This mindset helps traders understand that the key to profitability lies in grasping long-term trends, not gambling on short-term fluctuations. When they subsequently acquire large sums of money or are entrusted with managing large accounts, they can formulate long-term trading strategies based on their judgment of macroeconomic trends. Through reasonable position sizing, strict risk control, and unwavering adherence to the trend, they can achieve stable capital appreciation. Therefore, a trader's ability to make big money essentially depends on whether they possess a strategic perspective and long-term thinking commensurate with large-scale capital operations. This depth of understanding is far more decisive in determining long-term profit potential than short-term technical skills or capital size.

In two-way trading in forex investment, short-term forex traders are more prone to emotional trading.

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To succeed in forex trading, traders typically need strict discipline, the ability to consistently execute trading strategies, and to remain unaffected by external factors. However, in short-term trading, traders often need to closely monitor forex price fluctuations, making it difficult to maintain emotional composure and easily swayed by price swings, leading to emotional tension.
In reality, forex traders are not only concerned with forex price fluctuations but also with the increase or decrease in their account balance. When traders are influenced by emotions, they easily lose their rationality and balance, leading to poor trading decisions. In this situation, traders are highly likely to lose money. Therefore, short-term trading is not as easy to profit from as one might imagine.
When successful forex traders advise against short-term trading, it's not out of a desire to prevent others from profiting or to monopolize gains, but rather based on their own experience and deep understanding of the market. Successful forex traders typically avoid short-term trading because they are well aware of its risks and challenges. If a forex trader engages in short-term trading themselves but advises against it, this is understandable. They may be considering the risk-reward balance or making judgments based on their own trading style and experience.

Forex short-term traders earn less profit, find it difficult to make large sums of money, and incur high transaction costs and require excessive time spent monitoring the market.

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In the two-way trading of the foreign exchange market, short-term traders generally face the reality of "difficulty in making big money." This result is not accidental, but rather determined by the inherent contradictions between the characteristics of the short-term trading model and the profit logic. From the perspective of the general profit framework of financial trading, all trading strategies that can achieve stable returns essentially revolve around two core paths: one is to maintain a high win rate through accurate market judgment and strategy execution—that is, to ensure that the number of profitable trades accounts for a significant advantage in the total number of trades, achieving profit growth through "quantitative accumulation"; the other is to achieve "controlling losses and letting profits run" through strict risk control and trend grasp—that is, to limit the loss of a single trade to a controllable range by setting reasonable stop-loss orders, while extending the holding period of profitable trades as much as possible to amplify the profit potential, and achieving overall profitability by relying on the "profit-loss ratio advantage."
Theoretically, if short-term traders can achieve an extremely high win rate, such as consistently maintaining a winning percentage of over 80%, and ensuring that the profit from each trade covers the losses from a few losing trades, then they can indeed accumulate profits through high-frequency short-term trading without relying on a "let profits run" strategy. However, in reality, the short-term price fluctuations in the forex market are highly random, greatly influenced by uncontrollable factors such as sudden news, capital flow shocks, and shifts in market sentiment. Even professional traders find it difficult to maintain a short-term trading win rate exceeding 60% in the long term, and the win rate of ordinary short-term traders is generally below 50%, making it difficult to meet the core premise of "profiting through a high win rate."
When a high win rate is difficult to achieve, "controlling losses and letting profits run" becomes a key alternative path for traders to achieve profitability, but this path is equally challenging for short-term traders. The core logic of "letting profits run" relies on the continuation of trends to obtain greater gains from price fluctuations by extending the holding period. However, the essential characteristic of short-term trading is precisely its "short holding period"—most short-term trades are held for anywhere from a few minutes to a few hours, with a maximum of no more than one trading day. This short-term holding model fundamentally contradicts the "trend continuation time" required for "letting profits run." Unless a currency pair experiences an unusually large one-sided fluctuation in a very short period (such as a major policy announcement or a black swan event causing a sudden market movement), short-term traders find it difficult to obtain sufficient profit margins within a limited holding period. Instead, they are prone to profit-taking due to market reversals, ultimately falling into a cycle of "making small profits and losing big money."
In addition, the "high-frequency operation" characteristic of short-term trading brings additional cost pressures, further compressing profit margins. In forex trading, each transaction incurs costs such as spreads and commissions. Short-term traders, due to their extremely high trading frequency (some traders can complete dozens of transactions a day), experience a significant increase in accumulated transaction costs. Even if the cost of a single transaction is small, the total costs can wipe out most of the meager profits, or even lead to overall losses, due to long-term high-frequency trading. Furthermore, short-term trading demands extremely high precision in timing buy and sell: because forex currency pairs generally have limited short-term price fluctuations—for example, most non-US dollar currency pairs fluctuate only between 50-100 pips per day—the profit margin for short-term trading is already narrow. If one cannot accurately enter at the turning points of price fluctuations (such as buying at short-term support levels and selling at resistance levels), it is easy for entry timing errors to turn profits into losses or result in profits falling short of expectations.
To achieve such precise timing, traders need to monitor the market closely for extended periods, tracking price fluctuations, technical indicator changes, and market news in real time, maintaining a high degree of sensitivity to market details. This not only demands exceptional focus and market acumen but also requires a significant investment of time and energy. However, in reality, most non-professional short-term traders often have other jobs or life commitments, making it difficult to monitor the market around the clock. Even when they do have time, factors such as distraction and fatigue can lead to misjudgments, ultimately failing to meet the "precise timing" requirements of short-term trading, further exacerbating the difficulty of making substantial profits. In summary, the four core problems faced by short-term traders—difficulty in achieving high win rates, difficulty in maximizing profits, high transaction costs, and difficulty in timing—jointly determine their inability to achieve significant profits in two-way forex trading.

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13711580480@139.com

+86 137 1158 0480

+86 137 1158 0480

+86 137 1158 0480

z.x.n@139.com

Mr. Z-X-N

China · Guangzhou

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